Modeling of Survival Analysis of Recovery Rate of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever Patients at Dr. M. Djamil Padang Hospital

Masrizal Masrizal; Yudi Pradipta; Sari Laila Wahyuni; Randy Novirsa; Muhammad Alfarezi

doi:10.3889/oamjms.2023.11399

Authors

Masrizal Masrizal Department of Epidemiology, Faculty of Publich Health, Andalas University, Padang, Indonesia
Yudi Pradipta Department of Epidemiology, Faculty of Publich Health, Andalas University, Padang, Indonesia
Sari Laila Wahyuni Department of Epidemiology, Faculty of Publich Health, Andalas University, Padang, Indonesia
Randy Novirsa Department of Occupational and Environmental Health, Faculty of Public Health, Andalas University, Padang, Indonesia https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0477-1067
Muhammad Alfarezi Department of Epidemiology, Faculty of Publich Health, Andalas University, Padang, Indonesia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.3889/oamjms.2023.11399

Keywords:

Dengue, Hospital, Modelling, Recovery, Survival analysis

Abstract

BACKGROUND: DHF is one of the endemic diseases with the highest cases in Indonesia. According to WHO data in 2020, the incidence of DHF has increased more than 8 times over the last two decades, from 505,430 cases in 2000, to more than 2.4 million in 2010 and 5.2 million in 2019.

AIM: This study aims to analyzed the recovery rate of DHF patients at Dr. M. Djamil Padang Hospital During the COVID-19 period and the factors that influence it.

METHODS: This study is a quantitative study with a retrospective cohort study design. Data were taken from the medical records of DHF patients during the COVID-19 period (March 2020-February 2022). The sampling technique used was simple random sampling. The analysis used the Kaplan-Meier ̧ Cox Regression method, and the Cox Proportional Hazard analysis.

RESULTS: The average time it takes a patient to recover from DHF at Dr. M. Djamil Padang is 10 days. Patients who experienced the event were 32.7%, with an incidence rate of 0.061%. DHF patients at RSUP Dr. M. Djamil Padang, most of them were >14 years old, male, duration of fever before hospitalization >4 days, platelet level 100,000, hematocrit level >20%, and patients using insurance.

CONCLUSION: DHF patients aged >14 years, duration of fever before hospitalization 4 days, hematocrit level 20% had a longer recovery rate. It is recommended to the hospital to be better prepared to handle DHF patients according to risk factors and to collaborate for health education.

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